AFL

2025 Season

Home & Away Matches

Results are updated at the end of each round.



Model updates

  • November 2018: Elo ratings change throughout the simulated season 
  • December 2018: Finals predictions use average Elo rating over simulated seasons
  • April 2019: Display a tick when a team is a mathematical chance to make or miss the finals, or play any finals matches
  • October 2021: Elo ratings are now calculated from 1897
  • January 2022: Changed some parameters including k value and home ground advantage
  • April 2022: Ratings are adjusted pre-game to consider home ground advantage, travel, and fatigue
  • March 2024: adjustments to k-factor, home ground advantage