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Elo Predicts

Predictions of AFL, A-League, BBL and NBL matches, using Elo ratings and score prediction models.

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2024-25 Regular Season

Results are updated at the end of each round.

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Elo: Elo ratings were originally developed to rank chess players, but have been proven to be a very good way to predict the outcome of sporting matches. This site uses Elo ratings to predict the outcome of AFL, BBL, NBL and A-League games. It also uses a scoring model based on Poisson distribution to calculate an expected score.

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