After the siren: round 23

Another great round of footy, with all but one game going according to script this week. It should be a fantastic finals series!

Despite what the pundits are saying, there is really only one stand out team: Richmond. Melbourne, Collingwood and Hawthorn have been thrown up as challengers, but Richmond's rating of 1739 at the end of the home and away season is 97 points above the second-ranked team, Melbourne believe it or not (rating of 1642)!


Anyway, a finals preview will be up next week. Onto the results from this week:
  • Essendon ✔
  • Geelong 
  • Richmond 
  • Collingwood 
  • Adelaide 
  • Sydney ❌
  • West Coast 
  • Melbourne 
  • North Melbourne 
So, Elo finishes the 2018 Home and Away season with a 67.7% accuracy. While this probably won't win any tipping competitions, it is right up there with the good tipsters. Campbell Brown and Wayne Carey (as seen on Pick A Winner) have an accuracy of 70.2% and 68.7% respectively.

As mentioned earlier, a full finals preview will be out next week but briefly:
  • Richmond v Hawthorn, Richmond 73.1% chance to win
  • Melbourne v Geelong, Melbourne 51.2% chance to win
  • Sydney v GWS, Sydney 54.3% chance to win
  • West Coast v Collingwood, Collingwood 52.7% chance to win



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