Grand Final preview

The prediction for the Grand Final is

West Coast 53.2% chance to win

A lot of games in this finals series have really been not much more than a coin toss, so this could be a close game. I am tipping West Coast  to win based on their experience in 2015 which I think will help their preparation.

In terms of ratings, neither team is very interesting statistically. The highest rated winners in recent history were Hawthorn in 2015 (1743 before the Grand Final) and Geelong in 2011 (1772 before). This years Finalists are well outside those numbers. Interestingly the winners of the last two flags have been quite low-rated, with the Bulldogs going into the 2016 Grand Final with a rating of 1586 and Richmond going in with a rating of 1601. Every other winner since 2009 has had a rating over 1700, except Sydney in 2012 with a rating of 1640.

Comments