The final whistle: A-League round 1

There are usually winners and losers in the A-League, except this weekend which mostly ended in draws. In the case of a draw, it is the favourite who loses rating points. In round 1 the biggest loser was the Newcastle Jets who lost 13 rating point by going down to Wellington Phoenix. This loss sees Newcastle drop under the league average of 1500. Also interesting to note that Western Sydney had only a 50.1% chance to win, so the draw sees neither team gain or lose any rating points. 

Home rating	Home team	Away Team	Away rating	Tip
1495 (+4)	Adelaide United	Sydney FC	1641 (-4)	✔
1544 (-11)	Melbourne Victory	Melbourne City	1531 (+11)	❌
1424 (+13)	Wellington Phoenix	Newcastle Jets	1492 (-13)	❌
1480 (-3)	Brisbane Roar	Central Coast Mariners	1387 (+3)	✔
1476 (0)	Perth Glory	Western Sydney Wanderers	1476 (0)	✔

So, the tips for round 2 are as follows. With only three rating points between Adelaide United and Newcastle Jets they are hard to split. 

Home	Away	Prediction	Chance
Adelaide United	Newcastle Jets	Adelaide United	50.5%
Central Coast Mariners	Melbourne City	Melbourne City	69.7%
Sydney FC	Western Sydney Wanderers	Sydney FC	72.1%
Brisbane Roar	Wellington Phoenix	Brisbane Roar	58.0%
Melbourne Victory	Perth Glory	Melbourne Victory	59.8%