The week in review (14-20 Jan)

A-League

A couple of interesting things this week:

• Melbourne City has lost 15 rating points over the last seven days. While this doesn't affect their finals chances, every other team predicted to finish in the top 6 has gained over the last seven days with the exeption of Perth (-1).
• The Mariners are finally having some success, and have a net rating change of +18 in the last seven days. This has kept their rating above 1200; 1273 is the lowest rating historically.

Next five games:

• Melbourne City
• Sydney FC
• Newcastle Jets
• Perth Glory
• Melbourne City

BBL

BBL Elo ratings are not tracking well, with an accuracy of 50%. There is a need for a system overhaul, although this is well below the average over time (around 65%).

NBL

With one game to go this round, the Breakers are only a 51% chance to beat Cairns, so this game could go either way. The only team who could possibly sneak into the top 4 seems to be Perth, as their predicted win % is 5% behind Brisbane. The 36ers are on the march, a rating change of +22 in the last seven days, and although currently 5th they are predicted to finish 3rd.